Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.773805 2.130101 2.530925 3.013951 3.578895 4.217327 4.991989
2026-01-04 1.286712 1.743416 2.313648 3.072563 4.050003 5.259778 6.862827
2026-01-11 1.015402 1.520311 2.206821 3.196286 4.571182 6.396965 8.984076
2026-01-18 0.799189 1.306688 2.049968 3.197160 4.896932 7.290520 10.874714
2026-01-25 0.619381 1.098547 1.849754 3.083135 5.018227 7.887602 12.395867
2026-02-01 0.487034 0.931951 1.674765 2.965219 5.097123 8.407412 13.834254
2026-02-08 0.405602 0.831531 1.584103 2.958931 5.335894 9.178075 15.712825
2026-02-15 0.343278 0.751082 1.510886 2.965145 5.586588 9.981788 17.709558
2026-02-22 0.287850 0.671210 1.423219 2.928521 5.752030 10.652494 19.541492
2026-03-01 0.230997 0.575303 1.287352 2.779077 5.691444 10.923756 20.713089
2026-03-08 0.195532 0.517354 1.215757 2.740350 5.825593 11.541340 22.531718
2026-03-15 0.167942 0.471015 1.159724 2.722937 5.994841 12.232746 24.535773
2026-03-22 0.156642 0.462463 1.185985 2.884764 6.545304 13.697737 28.113372
2026-03-29 0.140757 0.438712 1.174046 2.962499 6.933889 14.892246 31.291785
2026-04-05 0.129656 0.425134 1.183564 3.089168 7.438944 16.358649 35.112797
2026-04-12 0.113432 0.393151 1.142415 3.092189 7.676163 17.309660 38.001625
2026-04-19 0.094514 0.348087 1.059530 2.982218 7.647672 17.711860 39.823320
2026-04-26 0.078538 0.307491 0.980295 2.868004 7.593302 18.050405 41.536624
2026-05-03 0.068878 0.284765 0.945671 2.861964 7.790601 18.941891 44.467593
2026-05-10 0.060897 0.265527 0.917327 2.868013 8.016984 19.915112 47.645761
2026-05-17 0.052808 0.243429 0.876131 2.832483 8.135532 20.656076 50.376589
2026-05-24 0.043207 0.212299 0.800480 2.687492 7.957532 20.702562 51.578303
2026-05-31 0.037438 0.194571 0.763957 2.649922 8.053977 21.394428 54.278365